Heavy,Medium And Light Duty Trucks Information
Thursday, October 9th, 2008North American diesel engine production is taking a short breather in 2000 after impressive gains over the last five years. Including a slight decline in 1996 (-0.8 percent), the growth from 1995 to 1999 was over 33 percent. Not surprisingly, the on-highway diesel engine production (for trucks, buses and coaches) dominates North American production.
In 1995, on-highway production was 74 percent of the total North American diesel engine production compared to 78.5 percent in 1999 and a forecasted 78.8 percent for 2000. In other words, as on-highway goes, so goes the total.
The premium heavy-duty Class 8 diesel production is expected to decline at least 25 percent in 2000 compared to the peak of 331,000 in 1999. Medium-duty diesels traditionally follow heavies by three to six months and are forecasted down at least 10 percent in 2000. The wild card in the diesel engine production formula has been light-duty. Growth in light-duty diesels for 2000 was less than 5 percent but enough to threaten the predicted downturn of the total market.
In 2000 truck market was faced many major problems; new truck overselling creating a used truck for sale, a continuing lack of qualified drivers, rising interest rates and the price of diesel fuel.So what will change in 2001?
Probably not much. We predict little change in 2001 for the heavy-duty truck and medium-duty truck markets. We feel both will continue to be weak in line with their performance in the last half of 2000. If the market was worried about the overselling in 1997 creating a used truck glut in 2000, take a good look at the heavy- and medium-duty truck for sale in 1998 and 1999. Last year was the peak for both markets and 1998 increased more than 10 percent compared to 1997.
The major fleets will have to purchase new trucks sooner or later, which will help stop the truck order free fall currently being experienced. Fuel prices may stabilize, but a per barrel price of $28 (mentioned as a good stopping point by OPEC and many analysts) will be more than twice the price we were enjoying only six months ago. Wars in the Middle East could ignite and fuel supply could send prices well above the $28 level — it currently is in the high $30 range. Interest rates are another variable that could be influenced by energy prices as well. Inflation based on energy prices could result in higher interest rates, although most analysts are predicting current rates to stay stable over the next year.
The driver shortage will continue with more women and mid-20s and younger drivers in the workforce. This is not a new problem for the major fleets and will probably affect the transmission selection (with a greater emphasis on automated manuals and automatics) more than the truck demand.
Light-duty truck diesels are a refreshing contrast. Currently, 3 percent to 4 percent of the Class 1 through Class 3 truck factory sales are diesel. Many of the applications, under 8500 lb. GVW, are not potential for do-mestic diesels due to emissions regulations. However, that is all expected to change by the 2002 model year. We believe the light-duty market will level in 2001, but increased penetration will increase light-duty diesel production volume.
There are a number of new diesel engine models being developed for light-duty trucks by international for Ford, Isuzu for GM and Detroit Diesel and Cummins for DaimlerChrysler.heavy duty truck have some model that is Conventional truck, dump truck, crane truck, flatbed truck etc, and medium duty truck also have model van truck, wrecker tow truck, concrete truck etc. It now appears the Detroit Diesel Delta diesel will be the choice for trucks below the Dodge Ram, while Cummins continues to meet its supply contract for the Ram with its B series. In 2001, we forecast the on-highway diesel engine production in North America to increase almost 3 percent, despite declines in medium- and heavy-duty trucks. Light-duty diesels are expected to rise 12 percent, which equates to 64,000 engines. Although dominant (79.1 percent of the total for 2001), on-highway diesels are not the only application in North America.so here we give some models of heavy medium and light duty truck.if you want more knowledge and information than website gives in detail.
